NFL Week One Picks

By: Daniel Stettin

It’s back! Everyone’s favorite time of the year (minus the start of GW Basketball) is back. After the teasers that were the preseason and the Thursday Night Opener where Kansas City shut down New England 42-27, we finally have a full slate of games on this Sunday.

Tampa Bay @ Miami: Stay safe Florida. As a Florida native, today is a day where football is a distraction from the potentially catastrophic hurricane that is pounding the state as I write this. I just want to remind people that this storm is no joke and take all precautions. Don’t be stupid and go outside and think that you can make it through this. The devastation that occurred throughout the Caribbean is enough to show you to take this very, very seriously. This game was (obviously) postponed to Week 11 and will count towards that week for fantasy football purposes as well.

Jets @ Bills 1 PM CBS: Who wants Sam Darnold more? That’s the question that fans of both teams are pondering throughout this season as it seems fairly obvious that both are trying to tank this season. They both have traded away star players in the preseason for high draft picks and players that may not be in Buffalo and New York after this year. I just can’t see a scenario where the Jets are able to put together enough defensive stands or offensive drives to get a W. For as bad as Buffalo is, Tyrod Taylor is still a decent QB and LeSean McCoy is a stud RB. The Bills have a strong first team but they have suspect depth and that is what will lead to their demise this season. Week 1 though, the Bills have just enough to beat the lowly Jets. Buffalo: 24 New York: 10

Falcons @ Bears 1 PM FOX: You think Atlanta has heard enough about 28-3? The reigning NFC champs are back and ready for some vengeance after an embarrassing ending to last years Super Bowl. They still have an insane amount of firepower with Matt Ryan at QB, Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman in the backfield, and Julio Jones out wide. Against a Chicago team that was one of the worst teams in the NFL last year, whose best pickup in the offseason is their backup QB, Atlanta should have a field day. Jordan Howard should be able keep the Bears in it at first but once Mike Glennon has to start throwing it more often, Atlanta should run away with this. Atlanta: 31 Chicago: 20

 

Ravens @ Bengals 1 PM CBS: The big question all preseason would be if Joe Flacco would be ready for week 1. Thankfully for Baltimore, Flacco will be playing. Even if he isn’t elite (take that Barstool!), he still gives Baltimore a much better shot at winning than Ryan Mallett does. Similar to Buffalo, Baltimore has a good first team but have suspect depth. If they stay healthy, Baltimore is a playoff team. But everyone knows injuries occur and its rare to go a whole season without any major injuries. Cincinnati, on the other hand, should remain consistently above average like they have been under Andy Dalton. Rookie Joe Mixon is listed third on the depth chart, but I think he leads the Bengals in rushing yards this season.  First rounder John Ross most likely won’t play, but the play of AJ Green should be enough for Dalton. Cincinnati: 21 Baltimore: 17

Steelers @ Browns 1 PM CBS: Loaded. That’s the first word that comes to my mind when I look at that Pittsburgh roster. This is a team that was expected to be a Super Bowl contender this year and that was before they added former Brown and All Pro Joe Haden. Between Big Ben, Le’Veon Bell, Martavis Bryant, and Antonio Brown, you gotta question how Cleveland will be able to stop this Pittsburgh offense. Rookie Deshone Kizer is starting for the Browns and while he had some dramatic plays, his play was subpar overall. First overall pick Myles Garrett isn’t playing due to an ankle injury, whenever he is back he will make a major impact but that won’t happen today. Pittsburgh: 34 Cleveland: 14

Seahawks @ Packers 4:25 FOX: This will probably be the best game of the opening week. Both teams are expecting a Super Bowl run and I wouldn’t be surprised if the NFC championship game is a rematch of this game. This is gonna be a high scoring affair. Aaron Rodgers is near perfect at Lambeau and the Seattle defense is not the shutdown defense it has been in the past. It’s odd to think about Seattle as an offensive powerhouse rather than defense, but that is what they have become. The key to this game will be if Seattle’s offensive line can hold up Russell Wilson (which they struggled to do last season). I don’t think the line holds up and Green Bay takes the dub. Green Bay: 28 Seattle: 24

Other Games:

Cardinals @ Lions 1 PM FOX: All the talk is that Carson Palmer is gonna bounce back from last years struggles. I don’t buy it and Matt Stafford leads the Lions to a big home opener victory.                 Detroit: 27 Arizona: 13

Jaguars @ Texans 1 PM CBS: This is gonna be one depressing game. Even if Deshaun Watson was starting for Houston, I’m not buying the Houston hype this year. We already know the story with Jacksonville. Houston: 17 Jacksonville: 7 

Raiders @ Titans 1 PM CBS: The upstart teams in the AFC battle in week one. Derek Carr and Marcus Mariota return from bad injuries at the end of last year as both squads are sleeper Super Bowl picks. I’m all aboard the Titans train. They have the best red zone QB (Mariota) and WR (Eric Decker) in the past two years and that doesn’t change. Titans: 31 Raiders: 27

Eagles @ Redskins 1 PM FOX: Does Carson Wentz make the jump this year? I think yes and Philly shuts down the Washington passing game who is breaking in two new starting receivers. I don’t know if Philly can run the ball that effectively but they should be able to throw the ball enough to get the win. Philadelphia: 20 Washington: 14

Colts @ Rams 4:05 CBS: No offense to either team, but this game is going to be brutal. Andrew Luck is out leaving Scott Tolzien as the starter. Nothing is more riveting than a Jared Goff-Scott Tolzien matchup. Kidding aside, the Rams have to take this game to get some confidence into Goff and new head coach Sean McVay. Los Angeles: 17 Indianapolis: 9

Panthers @ 49ers 4:25 FOX: Cam Newton is back after having shoulder surgery in March. After they struggled last season following a Super Bowl run, the talk is how with Christian McCaffrey and Newton, the offense will be electric. I’m actually a huge fan of Brian Hoyer who consistently produces no matter where he plays QB. Check the stats and he has actually been a solid QB. The 49ers however, don’t have the defense to stop Carolina. Carolina: 27 San Francisco: 21

Giants @ Cowboys 8:30 NBC: So much for that six game suspension for Ezekiel Elliot. He will be playing this entire season and that’s HUGE to the Dallas offense. The Giants are extremely overrated after beating mostly bad teams last season. However, Dallas is a team that the Giants have seemed to have figured out, beating them three times in a row. Dallas is the better team, but the Giants have their number. New York: 23 Dallas: 21

Saints @ Vikings 7:10 ESPN (Monday Night): It’s the return of Adrian Peterson to Minnesota. Unfortunately he is probably on the wrong side of the matchup. This is the year where I see Drew Brees start to fall off and the Vikings nasty defense will be the first do contribute. Sam Bradford quietly set the completion percentage record last year and he dink and dunks his way to victory Monday night. Minnesota: 28 New Orleans: 13

Chargers @ Broncos 10:20 ESPN (Monday Night): The big news out of this game is that Beth Mowins will become the first women to call play by play for a regular season game. The first game as the LA Chargers will not go great as the Broncos defense is still stacked even if their offense has a lot of fire power. I’m not that confident in Trevor Siemian but he is competent enough to lead Denver to a 1-0 start. Denver: 19 Los Angeles: 17

Posted on September 10, 2017, in GW Basketball. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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