WRGW Final Mock Draft 4/27

By: Daniel Stettin

With the NFL draft tonight, I’ve updated my prior mock draft from last month! I’m not going to project any trades, but I do expect one team trade up for a QB in the top ten and a few of the picks at the end of the first round may switch hands.

  1. Cleveland Browns – Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M
    1. Is there any doubt that the Browns are going to draft Garrett? He is the best defensive end to come out of college since at least Jadaveon Clowney in 2014. Garrett has a tremendous combine, showing off an unbelievable mix of size, strength, and speed that will make him difficult to stop at the next level. While defensive end isn’t the Brown’s most important need, you do not pass on the best player in the draft. The only other player I can see going here is UNC QB Mitchell Trubisky, but I believe that the Browns could still get him with the 12th pick (which they acquired from Philadelphia in a trade in last years draft).
  2. San Francisco 49ers – Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford
    1. Coming off his redshirt Freshman year at Stanford, Thomas looked like a promising prospect that could one day be a NFL player. Then he slowly began creeping up draft boards throughout the 2016 season, eventually ending the season with a dominant performance in the 2016 Sun Bowl vs UNC and Mitchell Trubisky. The 49ers once had a dominant pass rush under Jim Harbaugh, but that is no more. Similar to the Browns, this isn’t the most important need for the 49ers and Kyle Shanahan but the 49ers just need special talent and Thomas is that.
  3. Chicago Bears – Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State
    1. Many are pegging the Bears to take an defensive linemen but I don’t think the Bears are fine with their pass rush currently. Instead, the Bears can go after the next Ed Reed to play next to Quintin Demps. Despite having surgery on for a torn labrum, Hooker is still expected to go in the first round. Hooker looked like a potential All-Pro safety in his Redshirt Sophomore year at Ohio State but it was still a surprise he came out considering the lack of experience. The Bears could also go D-Line, but I think the Bears don’t pass up on fixing the safety spot for the next ten years.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars – Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU (Formerly: Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama)
    1. I initially had the Jaguars going defense here with Jonathan Allen but the more I look at it, the Jaguars would be much better off with a dominant RB such as Fournette. He would ease pressure off of Blake Bortles who has had close to no running game since entering the league a few years ago. They tried TJ Yeldon and Chris Ivory but neither was able to really play up to their potentials. Everyone knows Bortles likes to throw the ball downfield and a back like Fournette would open up the field. Fournette is a special back and should immediately be a Pro Bowl talent from day one.
  5. Tennessee Titans – Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State
    1. The Titans had arguably some of the worst cornerback play in the NFL last season and they still finished with a 9-7 record. They signed Logan Ryan to be their number 1 CB but I think he will be better off being the second CB behind Lattimore, who has the potential to be the a shut down CB in the NFL. The expectation for Tennessee is to go DB or WR so I wouldn’t be surprised if they were to take Mike Williams or Jamal Adams but with the signing of Jonathan Cyprien, they can get away with what they have at safety this year. Don’t be surprised if this pick is traded to a team trying to take Mitchell Trubisky.
  6. New York Jets – Jamal Adams, S, LSU
    1. Similar to the 49ers, the Jets are trying to cling on to the dominant defenses they have had in the past. Adams is another special safety that many deem to be a “safe” pick. New York is so close to being a perennial playoff team. It isn’t that former first rounder Calvin Pryor is bad, it is more that how good insiders expect Adams to be. Nobody really has a clue where the Jets are going to go with the sixth pick, some pegging them to go after Fournette, OJ Howard, Trubisky, Deshaun Watson, or any of the already mentioned DB’s, but I can’t see the Jets passing on a safety as talented as Adams (especially with Tom Brady and Ryan Tannehill in the division).
  7. Los Angeles Chargers – Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
    1. First off, it just sounds weird to say Los Angeles instead of San Diego. Second, if the draft plays out the way it has so far, don’t be surprised if LA trades out of this slot. The Chargers are praying that one of the two top safeties falls to them but that doesn’t happen here. I’m not predicting trades so I’m gonna give Phillip Rivers a stud receiver to pair with Keenan Allen to give the Chargers one of the more dynamic offenses in the NFL. Rivers only has a few years left so why not give him a plethora of receivers to connect with. Like I said, the Chargers really want to get Adams or Hooker here, but if not (and if they don’t trade out) I can also see them going offensive line here.
  8. Carolina Panthers – Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford (Formerly: Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU)
    1. Same position, different player. The talk now is that McCaffrey is going to go top 10 and he would fit perfectly into the Panthers offense where they can line him up anywhere on offense. Whether it be in the backfield, in the slot, or as a return man, McCaffrey is dynamic and would instantly upgrade the Panthers offense. Jonathan Stewart hit 30 this offseason and he wasn’t that good last season anyways (3.8 YPC last season). Similar to 2008 when Stewart was drafted despite DeAngelo Williams being productive, the Panthers will begin their transition to their new franchise back.
  9. Cincinnati Bengals – Jonathan Allen, DE, Alabama (Formerly: Rueben Foster, LB, Alabama)
    1. The failed drug test of Reuben Foster has him slip out of the top ten while Allen makes its just inside the top 10. Allen hasn’t done anything to drop but with the growing possibility of two RB’s going top ten as well as Mitchell Trubisky, Allen may drop to the Bengals, who are ecstatic to take Allen, who might be the best run defender in this draft. This pick for the Bengals is in the best player available approach, which should benefit this Bengals defense which has gotten quite old.
  10. Buffalo Bills – OJ Howard, TE, Alabama(Formerly: Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan)
    1. Saying the Bills need weapons for Tyrod Taylor (or whoever Buffalo decides to be their QB) is like saying Myles Garrett is the best player in this draft, everybody knows this. Howard has been shooting up draft boards in the past few weeks and it is not hard to see why. He has size and speed and would really help out Tyrod Taylor (or Cardale Jones). They have Charles Clay already, but he is more of a H Back while Howard is a true Tight End. Projections for the Bills are all over the place at every position, but I think they have to go offense here.
  11. New Orleans Saints – Haason Reddick, LB, Temple (Formerly: Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee)
    1. Reddick has never played LB before but that is the position NFL coaches believe he will thrive in. He came to Temple as a walk on DB and then became a pass rusher putting up 9.5 sacks as a Senior. Reddick might be undersized but he is relentless in his pursuit of the QB. Reddick is shooting up draft boards and some think he is a lock to go top 12. The Saints had one of the worst group of, if not the worst, pass rushers in the NFL. Barnett instantly upgrades that, giving them a strong line with Cameron Jordan, Nick Fairley, and Sheldon Rankins as well. The Saints could really go any defensive position as a result of their horrific defense last season.
  12. Cleveland Browns (From Philadelphia) – Mitchell Trubisky, QB, UNC
    1. The Browns take the hometown kid in Mitchell Trubisky, born and raised in the suburbs of Cleveland. Despite being just a one year starter, Trubisky shined in his first (and only) season as a starter at UNC, throwing 30 TD’s and completing 68% of his passes. The Browns seemingly have to take Trubisky here, they can’t go out on opening day with Cody Kessler (who wasn’t terrible as a rookie, but projects as a quality backup), Brock Osweiler, or Kevin Hogan and expect to see improvements over last year. Drafting Trubisky with his inexperience could allow Kessler to open the season as the starter with Trubisky taking over later in the year. If not a QB here, I could see the Browns going TE or another WR to help out their offense.
  13. Arizona Cardinals – Reuben Foster, LB, Alabama (Formerly: Deshone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame)
    1. The projections for Foster are all over the place with all the off the field concerns with Foster happening. Nobody is quite sure how far down Foster will fall with the diluted urine sample from the combine. The Cardinals have not shied away from taking players with troubled pasts before and after losing Kevin Minter in free agency, Foster could become the longterm starter at LB in Arizona. Don’t be surprised if they go with a developmental QB or a DB here, as both are pressing needs as well.
  14. Philadelphia Eagles – Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee (Formerly: Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State)
    1. If Conley was not accused of sexual assault earlier this week, he would be a slam dunk pick here for the Eagles. Conley isn’t expected to fall out of the draft like La’el Collins did, but he won’t be going Thursday night. Philadelphia instead gets one of the most productive pass rushers in the country in Derek Barnett. Barnett might not blow you away physically, but he makes up for it with his production. It isn’t easy to break Reggie White’s career sack record and he did it in just three seasons. Getting another pass rusher to help disrupt the other QB’s of the NFC East would really benefit Carson Wentz and the Eagles as a whole.
  15. Indianapolis Colts – Charles Harris, DE, Missouri (Formerly: Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan)
    1. Colts GM Chris Ballard has publicly stated that he is looking to move down to acquire more picks as well that the Colts top three draft needs are a pass rusher, CB, and RB. Harris fills the need for a pass rusher, putting up 9 sacks as a junior. He is big, strong, and fast linemen that will instantly upgrade the Colts pass rush. The only players last year to put up more than 3 sacks were both linebackers (Erik Walden with 11 and Robert Mathis with 5) so upgrading the D-Line is priority #1 in my mind. If not a pass rusher, I can see the Colts going after a RB or CB which are both pretty big needs as well.
  16. Baltimore Ravens – Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama
    1. There are reports out there that GM Ozzie Newsome absolutely loves Cam Robinson, the top rated tackle in this draft. After losing Ricky Wagner in free agency to Detroit, the Ravens are in need of a RT to pair with Ronnie Stanley. To win the AFC North, you must play well in the trenches and the Robinson would help fix that. There are some doubts if Robinson could play LT but by having him on the right side there won’t be an issue. If the Ravens don’t go offensive line, they are definitely going WR where they lost both Steve Smith and Kamar Aiken this offseason.
  17. Washington Redskins – Jabrill Peppers, S/LB, Michigan
    1. The key to this pick is how the Redskins announce it. Peppers played multiple positions at Michigan so people don’t know what he will play (he worked out as both a Safety and Linebacker at the Combine). I believe Peppers will play a similar role to what Deone Buchanan and Mark Barron play for Arizona and LA. Peppers is a little overhyped right now because he did so much for Michigan but he was never elite at any of the positions that he played in. The Redskins can also go RB or WR here, where Dalvin Cook, Christian McCaffery, John Ross, etc could instantly help out Kirk Cousins.
  18. Tennessee Titans – John Ross, WR, Washington
    1. Tennessee already took care of fixing their secondary by taking Marshon Lattimore at 5 and here they can fix their lack of a speedster/deep threat by taking Ross, who broke the combine’s 40 yard dash record by running a 4.22. Ross didn’t do much his first two seasons at Washington then he tore his ACL as a junior. He came back in his redshirt Junior season and dominated with over 1000 yards and leading Washington to the playoff. Ross doesn’t look like a traditional number 1 receiver, but he is a threat to score every time he touches the ball. If not a WR here, I can see Tennessee go for a Tight End such as David Njoku.
  19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State
    1. From his first game as a Freshman, Cook showed why he is a special RB. He isn’t as big as Fournette, but he is much more explosive and just seems to make plays. He ran for at least 1000 yards each year in Tallahassee and fits perfectly into Tampa Bay’s offense. The Buccaneers couldn’t run the ball at all last year and they might have made the playoffs if they had a reliable back. Tampa is definitely going offense year, whether it be a RB or TE they desperately need to help Jameis Winston.
  20. Denver Broncos – Garrett Bolles, T, Utah
    1. The Broncos lost Russell Okung in free agency and just in general had some poor Offensive Line play throughout 2016. This can partly be attributed to Trevor Semien’s play but still is telling how the line gave up 40 sacks. Bolles only played one year at Utah, previously playing a Junior College,  but he was dominant. Bolles is older than most prospects in the draft, he spent two years on a LDS Mission, but that shouldn’t stop him from going in the first round and starting Week 1. The Broncos could also go with Christian McCaffrey here, where his father Ed starred in the 1990’s, and help out in both the running game and catching passes out of the backfield.
  21. Detroit Lions – Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida (Formerly: Zach Cunningham, LB, Vanderbilt)
    1. Rumors out there are that Davis is flying up draft boards. He missed a few games his senior year but the talk is that he has all the measurable’s and the tape backs it up. If he remains healthy, Davis can anchor the Lions defense up the middle. Davis is strong in coverage and can attack the backfield which are both extremely valuable traits in todays pass heavy game. The Lions are most likely going to go defense here, but if they do not, a wild card like David Njoku could come off the board.
  22. Miami Dolphins – Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky
    1. While Miami made the playoffs last year, they still have many holes to fill. After trading Brandon Albert to Jacksonville, they are shifting last years first rounder Laremy Tunsil to LT. While I think Lamp can play LT (and play it well), I think he will be best able to physically dominate as a Guard. If Lamp was 2 inches taller and had a longer wingspan, he would be a top ten pick as a Tackle. Nonetheless, I see Lamp being a stud at Guard that is capable of filling in at Tackle if need be. If not Lamp, Miami could go TE, LB, or S here. If Jabrill Peppers were available, I know owner Stephen Ross would be drooling at the opportunity to take the former Michigan star.
  23. New York Giants – David Njoku, TE, Miami (Formerly: OJ Howard, TE, Alabama)
    1. I originally projected OJ Howard here but he has flown up draft boards. The same logic applies to the Giants taking Njoku here, where he could team up with Odell Beckham Jr, Brandon Marshall, and Sterling Shepard to form what might be the best set of pass catchers in the NFL. Njoku might not get the amount of targets he should be getting in New York but he would still be a very valuable contributor the Giants offense. The Giants have always had good, but not great TE’s. Njoku will change that with his game changing athleticism. If the Giants don’t go TE, I can see them going Offensive Line or Running Back.
  24. Oakland Raiders – Zach Cunningham, LB, Vanderbilt (Formerly: Haason Reddick, LB, Temple)
    1. Cunningham is of those rare Vanderbilt players that gets drafted in the first round. He is phenomenal in coverage and playing the run, both areas where the Raiders need help. Cunningham isn’t gonna explode for double digit sacks but he will do just about everything else in Oakland. The Raiders lost LB Malcolm Smith in free agency to San Francisco so Cunningham could potentially start day 1 for the Silver and Black. If the Raiders don’t go LB, then a Running Back or Defensive Linemen could be in play.
  25. Houston Texans – Patrick Mahomes II, QB, Texas Tech
    1. Unless the Texans sign another QB, they are planning on giving the starting job to Fourth Year QB Tom Savage. Bill O’Brien has been talking up Savage a ton but I have a hard time believing he would pass on Mahomes II, who set the combine record for fastest throw ever at 60 MPH. I know Mahomes II played in the air raid offense at Texas Tech, that shouldn’t stop a team like Houston from drafting a QB who has one of the strongest arms in Football. If the Texans don’t go QB here, they will go Offensive Line.
  26. Seattle Seahawks – Kevin King, CB, Washington
    1. The Seahawks go with the local kid over Marlon Humphrey as the Seahawks love their big corners (See Richard Sherman, Brandon Browner, Byron Maxwell, etc). Before the combine, King was probably going second or third round but then he had a tremendous combine shooting up to the first round. The Seahawks currently have DeShawn Shead set up to start opposite Sherman so they should be looking for a quality DB in the draft. If the Seahawks don’t go with a cornerback, an offensive linemen could definitely be in play.
  27. Kansas City Chiefs – Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson
    1. How far will the Chiefs go in 2017? As far as Alex Smith can go, which is most likely losing in the Divisional round. The Chiefs are a strong QB away from being a Super Bowl Contender. Watson won’t be ready to play for at least one season, so he can sit behind Smith until his contract expires after the 2018 season. The Chiefs have a stacked roster so they can afford to go with a luxury pick here at 27. The Chiefs can also go with a pass rusher if they don’t want to go with Watson.
  28. Dallas Cowboys – Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama
    1. The Cowboys get a steal here in Humphrey, who some think could go as high as the Top 10. The Alabama CB has the size (6 feet) and the speed (4.41 40) to keep up with any receiver in the NFL. He only played two seasons of College Football after redshirting as a True Freshman. Nolan Carroll is currently slated to start for the Cowboys, Humphrey will change that. The Cowboys could also go with an offensive or defensive linemen here but the value with Humphrey is too much to pass up on here.
  29. Green Bay Packers – TJ Watt, LB, Wisconsin (Formerly: Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford)
    1. Right now people might know TJ Watt as the little brother of JJ Watt, but Green Bay fans will soon learn that TJ can rush the passer pretty well as well. Watt put up 11.5 sacks as a Junior and he could be dominant playing opposite Nick Perry. The Packers defense was extremely inconsistent last season and could use some more pass rushers. The Packers can really go anywhere (besides QB of course) here.
  30. Pittsburgh Steelers – Chidobe Awuzie, CB, Colorado (Formerly: David Njoku, TE, Miami)
    1. Chidobe Awuzie is a player that has slowly risen up draft boards throughout the draft process. The measurable are solid, but the more you watch Awuzie, the more you want him on your team. Pittsburgh can use some secondary help despite taking Artie Burns last season. I personally see him as a second rounder but he was invited to the draft which indicates that enough teams have him high up on their draft boards.  The Steelers are expected to go defense for a lot of the draft so a DE or LB is not out of the question as well.
  31. Atlanta Falcons – Malik McDowell, DT, Michigan State (Formerly: TJ Watt, LB, Wisconsin)
    1. McDowell has one of the highest ceilings in this draft but he was so inconsistent throughout college. He struggled just as the entire Michigan State team did in 2016. Despite this, McDowell will punish interior linemen in the NFL as he is just that good rushing the interior. As we saw in the Super Bowl, Atlanta needs a relentless pass rush for 60 minutes if they want to bring home the Lombardi Trophy. Atlanta could also go offensive line here, where you can never have enough depth.
  32. New Orleans Saints (From New England) – Quincy Wilson, CB, Florida
    1. The Saints got this pick from New England in the Brandin Cooks trade.  After getting Derek Barnett at 11, the Saints are able to upgrade their secondary with Wilson. He’s a big corner at 6-1 and some think he could potentially move to Safety. There was talk the Saints could trade for Patriots CB Malcolm Butler considering how poor their secondary was this past season. There are no doubts that the Saints are gonna try to upgrade their secondary with this pick.

Posted on April 27, 2017, in GW Basketball. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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